Threat Construction


Experts Debate Threat of Nuclear, Biological Terrorism -- Chris Schneidmiller  -- Global Security Newswire  -- January 13, 2009

John Mueller, a political science professor at Ohio State University, argues that there is an "almost vanishingly small" likelihood that terrorists would ever be able to acquire and detonate a nuclear weapon. In even the most likely scenario of nuclear terrorism, there are 20 barriers between extremists and a successful nuclear strike on a major city, according to Mueller.

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Experts Divided Over Risk of Bio-Terrorist Attack -- Marcus Stern  -- ProPublica  -- December 5, 2008
Chemical / Biological Warfare

Even as the United States spends billions of dollars on biological defense initiatives, experts continue to debate the likelihood that terrorists could pull off a major attack using smallpox or another disease agent.

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Analyst Takes Issue With Estimate of WMD Risk -- Elaine M. Grossman  -- Global Security Newswire  -- December 4, 2008

Michael Krepon, a longtime expert on nuclear threat reduction, is questioning a finding released this week asserting the likelihood that a weapon of mass destruction will be used somewhere around the globe within the next five years.

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